SCS Odds projects every passing, rushing and receiving prop, checks the price at up to 10 sportsbooks, and delivers 5–10 picks a week. Each one comes with a calibrated win probability, and every result is graded and tracked.
The model refreshes daily during the season and locks picks Thursday at noon ET, before most of the week's line movement.
Every snap since 2006, weekly player usage, team efficiency and opponent defense, refreshed every morning.
A gradient-boosted model projects each player's median yards or catches from recent usage, matchup and expected game script.
Projections are blended with the sharpest no-vig prices and calibrated on out-of-sample seasons. Only positive expected-value picks make the card.
Most pick services sell confidence. We publish probabilities that have been checked against real outcomes, and we keep score.
When we say 56%, it's because picks rated around 56% have won around 56% on seasons the model never trained on.
We record the line at kickoff for every pick. Beating the closing number is the best long-run sign of an edge, and we report it.
Each pick shows the best line and price across up to 10 books, so you know the number worth taking.
Wins, losses, pushes, units and ROI, all of it. No deleted picks and no cherry-picked screenshots.
We're tracking the 2026 season in private before opening sign-ups. Plans and prices will be announced here.
No. Nobody can. Sports betting is high-variance and even good picks lose often. We show a probability for every pick so you know exactly what we expect, and we grade every one so the record speaks for itself.
NFL player props for passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards and receptions, plus spread leans on selected games.
Thursday at noon ET, with closing lines recorded before each kickoff and results graded the next morning.
Up to 10, including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars and BetRivers. Not every book is legal in every state, so always check what's available where you are.